So,
a member of the conservative party and former military Johnny Mercer
called on parliamentarians to deprive the prime minister of the
position, condemning Teresa May’s “cautious management approach”. According
to Mercer, as early as this week, Teresa May may face a vote of no
confidence, since “all the wings of the party” have united against her. On October 21, The Sunday Times reported that the Tories gave the British Prime Minister three days to save their position.
Former Mayor Boris Johnson, who has already proposed his Brexit plan, also poses a threat to May’s political career. Laborites had previously stated that no May plan to exit the EU would be supported.
Parliamentarians of Ireland itself add fuel to the fire. For
example, the Democratic Unionist Party of Northern Ireland intends to
consider the previously proposed amendment to the bill on leaving the UK
from the EU, which essentially makes it illegal for the EU proposal to
solve the problem with the border of Ireland, in fact, this is support
for the “hard” version of Brexit.
Supporters of this path in Britain are also quite a few. And
they also held their march in the city of Harrogate last weekend,
organized by the group “Leave Me To Leave,” led by former leader of the
United Kingdom Independence Party Nigel Farage.
All these political upheavals were not slow to affect the national currency rate. Thus, the pound against the dollar has already fallen below 1.3. On Monday, the pound sterling fell 0.7% to $ 1.2982 against $ 1.3076 a day earlier.
Teresa May is likely to be waiting for resignation, and the British pound is falling
and
as the infopowers are fed up, as the protest sentiments of UK citizens
grow, the pound will weaken at least to the level of 1.27 against the
dollar, said analyst Alar Broker Alexei Antonov.
Immediately
after May’s resignation, investors will be negatively disposed, but
then, as the party manages to show that it can defend the interests of
citizens in negotiations with the EU, the attractiveness of the pound
and British assets may increase, he notes.
The
critical scenario, which provides for the absence of a transaction, is
not currently taken into account by the market, Sabitov said.
If
we talk about such a scenario, then the potential for a currency to
fall can be estimated at a minimum of 6-8% to a level of 1.20-1.21
dollars per pound,
he believes.
In a soft exit scenario, currency growth is possible, and the faster this happens, the better for the pound. If
it were not for the uncertainty regarding Brexit, the Bank of England
could raise the rate already at the next meeting in November, as labor
market data show unemployment at the level of 4% and wage growth of
3.1%. Rising wages create inflationary risks, but so far Brexit’s risks outweigh, the expert adds.
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